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The Mexican Peso (MXN) weakened slightly at the start of the new week, despite positive economic indicators from both Mexico and the United States.
Key Factors:
- US Economic Data: Strong US Nonfarm Payrolls data and a decline in the unemployment rate have reduced expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts.
- Mexican Economic Data: Mexico’s automobile production and exports increased in September, while the unemployment rate rose slightly.
- Judicial Reforms: Concerns about potential reforms proposed by former President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador have eased after a recent court ruling.
- Geopolitical Risks: The ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to create uncertainty in the market.
Technical Analysis:
- Downward Trend: The USD/MXN pair is facing downward pressure, with a potential break below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).
- Support Levels: A break below the 19.00 level could lead to further declines, with potential support at 18.60.
Overall Outlook:
The Mexican Peso is likely to remain volatile, influenced by geopolitical risks, economic data, and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. Traders should monitor technical indicators for signs of a trend reversal.